With
all the doom and gloom about the economy and the housing market in the
news, it is easy to lose sight of the No. 1 reason why it’s still a
good time to build a home in southeastern Wisconsin — because it is
a long-term financial investment. Coupled with consistent historically
low interest rates (the best ones we’ve seen in 30 years), the
experts stand by their contention that playing the waiting game is not
a smart move.
"We have to remember that anything less than 7 percent is a
great, affordable rate," says Mike Ruzicka, president of the
Greater Milwaukee Association of Realtors. "Plus the federal
government has been very involved in trying to ensure credit
liquidity, including the takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac."
"Don’t believe media reports that you need 20 percent down,
either," says Mark Steele, senior mortgage consultant with
Johnson Bank, Franklin. "You can still get a construction loan
for 5 percent down." Steele says the real, important issue to be
aware of is "credit score pricing." Before 2007, as long as
your credit score was 620 or higher, you could enjoy the same interest
rate as those with 720. "Today, buyers will pay a premium for a
lower credit score," Steele cautions. "So know your credit
score — and understand that if it is between 720 and 740, you’re
going to get the best interest rate."
Foreclosure rates are a perfect example of how national news does
not apply locally. Wisconsin is in great shape; at a rate of only 1
percent, the housing market here boasts one of the lowest ones in the
United States, according to the Metropolitan Builders Association.
"Those who buy now will have a home they can call their own
and reap the long-term gains of home price appreciation instead of
missing out," says Chellee Siewert, executive director of the
MBA. She points to buyers who purchased homes in the early 1990s
during the last economic and housing downturn — and came out as big
winners. "The median price of a new home in 1991 was $120,000. In
July 2007, it was $239,500 — nearly double in price," she says.
"Buyers who embrace the advantage of today’s current market
conditions can expect to garner similar benefits in the investment of
a new home."
Lot prices have dropped, too. "Today a lot that went for
$150,000 three years ago is down to $110,000," Steele says. And
if potential buyers are still holding out for lower interest rates,
since home prices don’t follow the same trends, it’s important to
understand the math over the long run. If a home price drops $10,000
at today’s price, but the interest rate goes up a mere 1/2 percent,
ultimately you lose money. The bottom line is that the total dollar
amount of a higher monthly payment over the term of the loan is going
to be much greater than the up-front savings of the reduced home
price.
"Currently the higher-end market remains stable and
active," Siewert points out. "The challenge I’m hearing
from builders is at midrange price points as buyers are waiting to
sell existing homes." Builders are offering incentives, too, and
report that even despite an especially rough winter at the start of
2008, model home traffic was on the rise this past year.
"Builders are being very responsive and we’re seeing some
cost-cutting and room for negotiating," Steele agrees. "I
see things turning around even more by mid to late 2009. It’s still
a great time to build."
"While it appears we may be in a recession, it’s usually the
one industry than leads us out of a recession," Ruzicka says.
"I think we are poised to do just that in southeastern Wisconsin
in the near term." m