CHICAGO
- Someday, we may be getting fashion advice from our
mirrors.
Instead
of digging through our closets to find the perfect
complement for a new shirt, we may hold it up to our
bedroom mirror for a computer to scan. Using
radio-frequency identification technology, our
electronic fashion stylist will then offer suggestions
based on what's in our closet or how the latest
edition of Vogue or Teen Beat pairs up something
similar.
"The
technology required to do it is pretty much available
today," said Jonathan Cluts, director of
strategic prototyping at Microsoft. The feature can be
seen in action at a Microsoft concept home in Redmond,
Wash., and a variation is in a new prototype home in
Disneyland.
That's
not to say that everyone will want it.
And
that hints at a major theme we'll see as more and more
technology gets woven into our homes, experts say. Our
personal preferences and needs will dictate what
technology we have to have, what we want and what
we'll take a pass on.
First
things first: To get most of these home innovations,
the places in which we live will be networked,
allowing all the computers and electronics inside to
communicate.
Technology
is already on the market that can make this happen.
With a
digitally networked home, people can manage all their
music and movie files on a media server so they can be
heard or watched in any connected room. We can also
control all our lights, our thermostat and even our
window blinds with a touch of a button. Movies can be
downloaded from the Internet and watched immediately
on our big-screen televisions.
Wired-home
technology is getting more affordable for the average
homeowner, too.
"Ten
years ago, this was the domain of the rich," said
Jason Leonardelli, director of international projects
for LifeWare, which sells home automation software.
Increased use of wireless technology and
standardization in the industry have changed that, he
said.
Some of
the first home automation systems to hit the market
were priced at $35,000 to $45,000, said Tedd Benson,
founder of Walpole, N.H.-based Bensonwood Homes.
Today, similar systems might cost $2,500, he added.
But
just because the price of home automation has come
down, it doesn't mean people are snapping it up,
pointed out Kent Larson, director of the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology's House - n research group,
which explores how new technologies, materials and
strategies for design can develop dynamic and evolving
places. Visit the site. http://architecture.mit.edu/house_n/
For
home technologies to become more popular, consumers
will need to see definite practicality in the
applications, he said. In other words, Americans
probably "don't want to sit in front of the
computer to turn the lights on," Larson said.
That
said, "there are huge opportunities using the
same technology to do useful things, like saving
energy or keeping people healthy longer," he
added. The goal of home technology, he said, should be
to make people smarter - not to make their homes
smarter.
APPLICATIONS
THAT COUNT
Energy-saving
home technologies are going beyond the programmable
thermostat. Already, there are systems on the market
that allow homeowners to adjust heating and cooling
settings remotely, using a computer or a cell phone.
"The
real big player right now is energy efficiency,"
often not the novelty of being able to turn a home's
lights on and off from one location, said Leonardelli.
The
home can be programmed so that if the security system
is disarmed, the system can turn on the lights, he
said. On the flip side, if the system is armed -
signaling that the homeowner is leaving - the system
could be set so that the lights are turned off. With
that set up, lights aren't mistakenly left on when
people leave the house.
GPS-enabled
cell phones may someday signal when we're getting
close to home, a sign to turn up the heat or turn on
the kitchen light while it unlocks the door. Or we may
monitor energy consumption in a home just as we would
in a Prius, Benson said.
That's
saying nothing of all the green building technologies
that are creating zero-energy homes or, even better,
homes that actually make more energy than they
consume.
As much
as a priority it is for people to save energy, aging
in place innovations also could prove extremely
helpful as baby boomers get older, those in the
industry say.
New
technologies will help people delay
institutionalization and allow them to live
independently for a longer time, said Majd Alwan,
director of the Washington-based Center for Aging
Services Technologies. That's important because the
need for caregiving will rise as boomers move into
their golden years; at the same time, the cost of care
is going up, he said. Visit the site. http://www.agingtech.org/index.aspx
Wearable
fall-detectors are on the market already, and
researchers are working on floor sensors that can tell
if a person has fallen, he said. These sensors can
distinguish when a person hits the floor and when it's
some other object that has fallen.
In the
future, motion sensors may look for patterns of normal
activity and report deviations if movement isn't
sensed for a certain period of time, he added. And
some applications could read the vital signs of a
resident, which an offsite nurse can monitor. When a
homeowner leaves the house, sensors on their walkers
also can monitor those vitals, he said.
With
home systems like these, family members may be more
comfortable when their elderly loved ones live on
their own, Alwan said. Oftentimes, seniors move into a
nursing home because their family "is worried
about the health and well being of loved ones, but do
not have enough information to give them peace of
mind," he said.
ADD-ONS
WE MAY WANT
That
isn't to say some techies won't want a computer to
offer recipes based on food items placed on the
counter, a concept incorporated into the new
Disneyland home. In the kitchen of the future,
appliances also can talk with each other, and a
virtual bulletin board keeps the schedules of all
family members in one calendar application.
In the
living room, an interactive touch screen may take the
place of the coffee table book, displaying content
from the family's library. Digital pictures on the
walls and music piping through a room can be changed,
based on the preferences of who is occupying the
space.
It's
not unusual for those who tour the concept home to be
overwhelmed, Cluts said. But most actual homes won't
likely incorporate each element, either, he added.
"We
get asked, 'what's the killer app for the home?' The
answer varies," Cluts said. Take the example of
the recipe finder, he said. "If I'm a gourmet
cook and I know what to make with chicken and
mushrooms, or I only eat out, I never will buy that
for my home."
And
it's still too early to know which ideas will gain
consumer acceptance, he added.
One
idea that Microsoft experimented with in past years
was the idea of offering movies on demand, now a
concept that has taken off. But when the company
worked on an iris scan for keyless entry, there wasn't
as much acceptance, he said.
"Consumers
hated it," he said. Even though the light that
shines on the eye is harmless and the biometric entry
system is more secure than a fingerprint-based one,
"they didn't like the idea of having their eyes
scanned," Cluts said.
THE
IMPORTANCE OF COST
As the
price of basic home automation systems comes down and
the technology is becoming more dependable, the
feature is becoming more popular, Leonardelli said. He
thinks it soon could become a must have: "Once it
becomes more common and you have a home and live with
this, you're not going to want to not have it,"
he said.
That
gets at another essential component of home
technologies: the importance of cost and how the
investment pays off over time.
According
to a National Association of Home Builders survey of
architects, designers and builders released last year,
78 percent said the average new home will likely have
a programmable thermostat by the year 2015. Sixty-one
percent said that the average new home will have a
structured wiring system by then, and 59 percent said
it will have a multiline phone system. Multi-zone
controlled HVAC systems and remote controlled
fireplaces were next on the list.
On the
other end of the list, only a small percentage of
professionals surveyed thought that window covering
controls, sensor-operated faucets and electronic
shower and bath systems would become standard in new
homes by 2015, even though more thought that these
features would be standard in upscale homes by then.
"Things
that provide real money and saving for the average
household" are those that often win a place in
the average home, said Rose Quint, assistant staff
vice president for survey research at NAHB.
"Money is the deciding factor here," she
said.
Indeed,
practicality is important, and the biggest challenge
smart home proponents have had over the years is the
misperception that technology could somehow turn our
homes into something straight out of "The Jetsons,"
said Gordon van Zuiden, a member of the Custom
Electronic Design & Installation Association and
president of cyberManor, a Los Gatos, Calif.-based
firm that provides networking services to homes. Visit
the CEDIA site. http://www.cedia.net/
He
insists, however, he's not talking about microwaves
that also play chess.
For
example, consolidating all audio and video files onto
a media server is something that has become a
"very real trend" desired by many Americans.
And the popularity of DVR applications, such as TiVo,
have people clamoring for more flexibility in using
those tools.
"It's
one thing to have that great pipe of content going to
one computer sitting in the office," he said. But
it's another to have all of that Internet content to
see and view anywhere in the house. "We're seeing
that architecture unfold like electrical unfolded in
the 1930s."