Some teams
surge toward the playoffs. Look at Denver, Seattle, Washington
and Green Bay.
Others struggle
to stay in the mix: try the Steelers, Bengals, Giants and Bears.
This
penultimate weekend of the schedule could propel a few of them
and eliminate others.
Chief among the
clubs that could go either way: the defending champion New York
Giants, who have lost their last three road games by a combined
82-29 to fall to 8-6. Not even coach Tom Coughlin is sure what
he has as they head to Baltimore.
"It would
be easy for me to say I do, but the reality of it is we haven't
been able to play to substantiate what I would say is the
personality of this team," said Coughlin, whose club gets a
wild card, for sure, by winning out. "So I'm definitely
counting on the veterans to go ahead and prove this and do it
with consistency.
"Last year
we did it over a six-game run and, exactly, we're in that
situation again."
Even though
their opponent Sunday, the Ravens, already have sewed up a
playoff spot, it's a critical game for Baltimore (9-5) to get
back on track after three straight defeats — two at home and
one a bit down the road in Washington.
"We dug
this hole we're in," safety Bernard Pollard said. "We
can't blame anybody but ourselves. We don't like losing three
straight games. Nobody does. It's at the point right now where
we have to get back at it, man. We dug the hole, now we've got
to find a way to get out of it."
The action
begins Saturday night with Atlanta at Detroit. There are no more
Monday night games this season.
Also Sunday,
it's Cincinnati at Pittsburgh in an AFC wild-card showdown;
Chicago at Arizona; San Francisco at Seattle; Washington at
Philadelphia; New Orleans at Dallas; Minnesota at Houston;
Indianapolis at Kansas City; Cleveland at Denver; Tennessee at
Green Bay; New England at Jacksonville; St. Louis at Tampa Bay;
Buffalo at Miami; San Diego at New York Jets; and Oakland at
Carolina.
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Cincinnati
(8-6) at Pittsburgh (7-7)
A Bengals win,
perhaps a long shot because second-year quarterback Andy Dalton
hasn't beaten either the Steelers or Ravens yet, gives
Cincinnati a second consecutive postseason berth. That hasn't
happened since 1982 and never has occurred without involving a
strike-shortened season.
The Bengals
also can take the division by sweeping the final two games and
having Baltimore lose twice.
Pittsburgh can
win the division only if there is a three-way tie, but
definitely gets a wild card with two victories.
Chicago (8-6)
at Arizona (5-9)
Reeling and
injury-ravaged, the Bears have dropped three straight and five
of six. There's some discord in the locker room, coach Lovie
Smith's job security has become shakier, and they no longer can
win the NFC North.
Still, a
wild-card spot is available if they win out, and even though the
Cardinals routed Detroit last week, it was Arizona's first win
in 10 games.
San
Francisco (10-3-1) at Seattle (9-5)
The spotlight
matchup, even though it won't decide the NFC West. San Francisco
can take the division for the second successive season by
beating Arizona in its finale even if it falls at what will be a
rocking CenturyLink Field. The 49ers earned at least a wild card
with their, uh, wild 41-34 victory at New England last weekend.
"Given my
first four years, around this time, we probably wouldn't be
playing for much, maybe a chance to win a game and maybe get in
or waiting on three other teams to lose," star linebacker
Patrick Willis said. "It feels good to know that you're
playing for something. We have a playoff berth, but we want the
division. And we also want to have that first-week bye, and we
know we have to win this week first."
The Seahawks
are 6-0 at home, have won five of their last six overall, and
scored 58 and 50 points the last two weeks. They aren't likely
to come close to that against the NFL's stingiest defense; the
Niners have allowed 218 points, one fewer than Seattle.
Washington
(8-6) at Philadelphia (4-10)
Credit Mike
Shanahan and his coaching staff for one of the best jobs down
the stretch. It helps when you have not one but two effective
rookie quarterbacks: Robert Griffin III and Kirk Cousins.
The Redskins
might beat the weak Eagles with Rex Grossman this week. But even
if RG3 is back as expected, look for another key Washington
rookie, RB Alfred Morris, to add to his 1,322 yards and nine TDs
on the ground.
New Orleans
(6-8) at Dallas (8-6)
Dallas is in
the same situation as Washington. Win out and the Cowboys take
the NFC East.
They've shown
plenty of fortitude in winning five of six, rallying to beat the
Bengals and Steelers in the last two outings.
New Orleans
will test the Dallas defense and is adept at forcing turnovers,
something the Cowboys often commit (minus-9 margin).
Minnesota
(8-6) at Houston (12-2)
Seems like most
everyone believes Adrian Peterson is a lock to break Eric
Dickerson's single-season rushing mark of 2,105. But he still
needs almost 300 yards in the last two games, and to average
that much would be a pace for 2,400 yards in a season.
The Texans are
formidable against the run and badly want to assure being at
home throughout the AFC playoffs. By damaging Minnesota's push
for an NFC wild card, Houston would ensure it is at home in
January.
"This year
he's definitely the best, linebacker Bradie James said of
Peterson, who has 1,812 yards. "I played against Ricky
Williams in his heyday when he would just run over everybody. I
played against the Bus (Jerome Bettis); the Bus was great in
short yardage. I played against Mike Alstott. I played against
all these guys, and what Adrian Peterson is doing right now, I
hadn't seen it before.
"We don't
want to be on the end of his record setting. We've got to do our
job and really not get caught up in all that."
Indianapolis
(9-5) at Kansas City (2-12)
Indy's
sensational turnaround from 2-14 to wild-card team will be
complete with a victory at the Chiefs. The Colts have managed it
despite the fewest takeaways in the NFL (10) and a minus-17.
But the Chiefs,
who were shut out by lowly Oakland a week ago, are even worse at
minus-22.
Cleveland
(5-9) at Denver (11-3)
Consider how
far the Broncos have come from a 2-3 record and tons of
questions about whether Peyton Manning could once again be,
well, Peyton Manning. He is every bit as good in his first
season in Denver, has gotten in-tune with his receivers,
particularly Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker, and has a fierce
defense to boot.
"I like
young players that really want to get better, and those guys
have done that," Manning said. "Our timing has
improved throughout the season. It's not what it would be had we
played together for five years."
In Cleveland,
they wonder if the young cast will play another year with coach
Pat Shurmur.
Tennessee
(5-9) at Green Bay (10-4)
The Packers
could move into the No. 2 seed in the NFC with a victory and a
loss by San Francisco. That should be enough motivation to keep
them humming; they've won eight of nine, including three in a
row within the division to put away the NFC North.
Tennessee was
the beneficiary of Mark Sanchez's generosity on Monday night.
Aaron Rodgers is no Sanchez.
New England
(10-4) at Jacksonville (2-12)
An angry bunch
of Patriots head south to face one of the league's worst teams.
Barring a misstep by Denver, New England is looking at playing
in the wild-card round, by which time it had better have solved
defensive woes exposed by San Francisco last Sunday night.
The Jaguars
don't figure to provide any challenge as they contend for the
top overall draft pick.
Atlanta
(12-2) at Detroit (4-10), Saturday night
The Falcons
drew the kind of positive reviews after their rout of the Giants
that many had withheld. A win at faltering Detroit, which has
gone from competitive to dreadful during a six-game slide,
clinches NFC home-field advantage.
"This is
what you work so hard in the offseason for," star tight end
Tony Gonzalez said. "This is what you work so hard during
the regular season, and what we've done up to this point is
we've put ourselves in a great position. As far as I'm concerned
and what I've been telling my teammates and what coach has been
telling us, let's go out and finish the job."
St. Louis
(6-7-1) at Tampa Bay (6-8)
Both teams
should look forward to bigger and better things in 2013. These
are generally young teams being constructed in dissimilar ways.
Jeff Fisher is
a defensive guy and he's put together a solid unit led by ends
Chris Long and Robert Quinn, LB James Laurinaitis and
cornerbacks Cortland Finnegan and rookie Janoris Jenkins. They
rank ninth and have 41 sacks, third in the league behind
contenders Denver, Houston and Cincinnati.
The Bucs are
doing most of their good things with the ball. Vincent Jackson
is first in yards per catch (19.8) and fourth in yards
receiving, while rookie Doug Martin has 1,250 yards rushing and
10 TDs.
Buffalo
(5-9) at Miami (6-8)
Buffalo's high
expectations after a busy offseason adding talent fell apart
early. The Bills could see some front-office housecleaning after
they finish off their 13th straight season out of the playoffs.
Miami has taken
some decent steps in its rebuild, but this could be a game of
turnovers. Buffalo is minus-10 and Miami is minus-12 in turnover
margin.
San Diego
(5-9) at New York Jets (6-8)
To the chagrin
of Fireman Ed and other Jets fans, the Sanchez error, uh, era
might not be over. At least for 2012, barring injuries, the
regressing QB will be on the sideline as Greg McElroy tries to
secure a job for the future.
The Chargers
are playing out the string, too. They found some enthusiasm when
they beat Pittsburgh two weeks ago, but then the Panthers routed
them in San Diego.
Oakland
(4-10) at Carolina (5-9)
The Panthers,
particularly Cam Newton, are playing well enough to perhaps save
coach Ron Rivera's job. It seems logical that Raiders coach
Dennis Allen, in his first season of what will be a lengthy
rebuilding project, also is safe.