SAN
FRANCISCO - The U.S. online-advertising market is
expected to top $30 billion in value this year, while
chipping away at the considerably larger pool of money
still being drawn in by the stodgier, more-established
medium of television.
That's
helped focus the attention of Google Inc., Comcast
Corp. and others to better automate and broker the
sort of targeted ads already prevalent online for the
traditional medium's channels. It's also helped
attract smaller upstarts sensing a profound change in
the TV industry.
Among
these small firms is closely held Spot Runner Inc.,
which is backed by more than $100 million from a broad
range of investors, including CBS Corp., and
advertising giant WPP Group PLC.
According
to data from the Interactive Advertising Bureau,
online-advertising revenue in the United States
reached $21.2 billion in 2007. Total advertising
revenue for cable and broadcast television, meanwhile,
topped $40 billion in 2007, the IAB reports.
But
many see online advertising weathering the current
downturn in the economy, and eating into TV
advertising's lead in revenue, as more companies seek
out the sort of targeted and easily tracked campaigns
available on the Web. Research firm IDC said that it
expects the threat of recession will decrease
advertising expenditure across all media by as much as
7 percent this year, while online advertising should
see quarterly growth between 15 percent and 20 percent
over the same period.
Companies
trying to help television retain and expand its ad
revenue by tapping Internet technology face
considerable challenges, though. That's because
they'll be attempting to disrupt the formidable
TV-advertising industry with automation, while
threatening to flatten prices through increased
efficiency.
"There
are some institutional barriers to dominating the
television market," said Forrester Research
analyst David Graves.
Google's
TV Ads program, opened to the public in April, aims to
replicate the search titan's automated-auction formula
by taking online bids for spots based on keywords to
run in certain shows and at certain times. Google's
technology, placed in set-top boxes provided to
customers of partner Dish Network Corp., is designed
to gather and report details such as when viewers
prematurely tuned out of a particular advertisement,
and when they stayed put for its entirety.
Meanwhile
Canoe Ventures, a newly announced joint effort between
Comcast, Charter Communications Inc., Cablevision
Systems Corp., Time Warner Cable and others, plans to
deploy similar set-top box technology in "a few
years," according to Canoe Ventures Chief
Executive David Verklin.
Unlike
Google's TV-ad program, however, Canoe Ventures will
not seek to automate the sale of an ad with an
auction, instead pitching its technology to existing
sales teams at individual networks. The effort is
backed by an initial $150 million investment, and
Verklin will officially assume the chief executive
role in August.
The
move toward applying Internet tools to TV advertising
also has lured fledgling enterprises. Los
Angeles-based Spot Runner, for example, has carved a
niche as a provider of an online system to help
businesses create and run ads tailored for local
markets.
Launched
in 2006, Spot Runner provides an in-house creative
staff that helps businesses assemble ads from scratch
and select airtime for them on specific networks via
the Web.
The
startup has stirred a great deal of speculation that
it will be acquired by one of the larger players
aggressively seeking to build out their own
advertising services, such as Microsoft Corp..
"We're
talking to everyone all the time, but we don't comment
on the rumors," said Spot Runner President John
Gentry.
The
high hopes for Spot Runner are evidenced by its long
list of investors, which includes CBS, WPP Group and
Legg Mason Inc., a large institutional firm that has
only invested a total of six other startups backed by
venture capital, according to data from Dow Jones
VentureSource.
Investors
also include Lachlan Murdoch, son of News Corp.
Chairman Rupert Murdoch. (News Corp. is the owner of
MarketWatch, publisher of this report.)
Spot
Runner, like Canoe Ventures, also doesn't go as far as
Google by offering an auction process to finalize
prices. "It's far less disruptive than
that," Gentry said.
Forrester's
Graves said that by positioning itself as less of a
threat to the traditional advertising industry may
work in the startup's favor. "People who buy
television feel there's a more complex decision
process than an auction process will support. These
people make their living by claiming they add value
you wouldn't get with an auction system."
Michael
Steib, director of Google TV Ads, said that the
auction process is simply meant to help expand
efficient ad sales to "niche" channels that
don't receive the same audience measurement offered
for more prominent channels - while drawing in
advertisers who previously may have shied away from
TV.
"We
believe you can apply computer science to an industry
like television," he added.
What's
more, fears that Internet systems such as Google's
auction process will depress TV-advertising prices are
misguided, according to Steib. "What the auction
will yield is the market price, and that's pretty much
what people are already paying."
Google's
TV Ads service shouldn't be seen as a direct
competitor to Spot Runner or Canoe Ventures, he said,
because of its distinct approach. While Steib
acknowledged that "it takes a while" to
convince companies to make use of such technology, he
described the results so far as encouraging.
Google
is looking to expand beyond its partnership with Dish
Network, Steib said, which limits the service to the
network's roughly 14 million subscribers.
Verklin
of Canoe Ventures said that one of the group's initial
goals will be training individual networks in the use
of its technology, while at the same time attempting
to mesh the various operations of its disparate
members. "The challenges we face are
enormous," he commented.
But the
advantages for networks using Canoe Ventures'
technology, Verklin elaborated, could be a more
efficient use of air time - so that, for example, a
person without a pet won't be subjected to a pet-food
commercial. "We're going to take some of ESPN's
spots if they so desire and carve those up into the
best possible demographic and product usage
slices," he said.
Yet
initially Canoe Ventures will focus on an interactive
product that will let TV viewers respond to ads by
making purchases or requesting more information,
according to Verklin. That product should be out in
the next 18 months.
"We're
trying to bring some new energy" to the
TV-advertising business, he remarked.
While
Comcast Chief Operating Officer Steve Burke told
analysts during its fourth-quarter conference call in
February that it plans to spend between $50 million
and $70 million on "interactive-advertising
infrastructure," a Comcast spokeswoman declined
to say how much of that has been allotted to Canoe
Ventures.